Model Predictions
| Model | Kent State Golden Flashes | Northern Illinois Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies +6 (61-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nila Blackford * | 35 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 26 | -8.0 |
| Hannah Young * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +13.1 |
| Lindsey Thall * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | +8.6 |
| Katie Shumate * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -12.8 |
| Mariah Modkins * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -13.5 |
| Clare Kelly | 33 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -11.9 |
| Casey Santoro | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +9.4 |
| Bridget Dunn | 21 | 3-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Jenna Batsch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janae Poisson * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Mikayla Brandon * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Errin Hodges * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | +2.3 |
| A'Jah Davis * | 29 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Chelby Koker * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +13.5 |
| Emily Meinert | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.7 |
| Jayden Marable | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -10.1 |
| Nia Ahart | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Sidney McCrea | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Brooke Stonebraker | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.4 |
* = starter