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Texas State Bobcats 55
@
South Alabama Jaguars 52
2022-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats South Alabama Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 59.1% 40.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% - ✓
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 ✗ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% - ✗

Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -3 (52-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Asberry * 34 3-11 3-7 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 9 7 -
Isiah Small * 32 4-14 0-1 0-3 9 2 1 0 2 8 4 -
Mason Harrell * 29 3-7 2-2 3-4 0 3 0 0 1 11 6 -
Shelby Adams * 28 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 -
Nate Martin * 18 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 4 4 -
Nighael Ceaser 22 5-8 0-0 1-2 12 0 0 0 1 11 14 -
Drue Drinnon 21 4-7 1-3 0-1 0 0 1 0 1 9 2 -
Tyrel Morgan 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 2 5 -

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Chandler * 36 0-6 0-2 1-2 4 5 0 0 4 1 0 -
C. Manning Jr. * 35 4-13 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 2 4 9 -2 -
D. Smith * 32 2-6 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 5 6 -
J. Franklin * 30 6-7 0-0 4-5 8 2 0 3 1 16 21 -
L. Thomas * 18 3-6 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
K. Goncalves 22 2-8 2-8 0-0 7 0 2 2 1 6 8 -
M. Kearing 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Alex Anderson 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Jones 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter