Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fields * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| M. Davis | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Avery Felts | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Farrington | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Williams * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Desmond Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Efe Odigie * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Duke Deen * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 26 | - |
| Jakevan Leftridge * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Kieffer Punter | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Christyon Eugene | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Christian Turner | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| TK Smith | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Stampley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rifen Miguel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter