๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2022-01-20

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Akobundu-Ehiogu * 31 4-4 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 4 2 8 17 -
N. Elame * 29 5-9 0-3 1-1 5 2 2 0 1 11 10 -
D. Azore * 27 4-12 1-3 9-10 2 1 0 0 6 18 3 -
J. Levi * 26 3-8 0-1 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 8 7 -
P. Mwamba * 25 6-12 3-5 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 15 11 -
C. Bischoff 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Young Jr. 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Hoiberg 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Wilson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Brandyn Talbot 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norchad Omier * 36 6-13 0-0 6-10 16 2 2 0 1 18 24 -
M. Eaton * 33 4-11 1-3 7-8 4 8 2 0 3 16 16 -
C. Fields * 32 4-6 2-3 2-2 4 6 0 0 3 12 13 -
D. Sills * 28 6-11 2-5 2-2 4 1 2 0 5 16 7 -
K. Wesley * 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
M. Davis 19 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
C. Willis 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Avery Felts 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
M. Farrington 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Antwon Jackson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter