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2022-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“

Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +6 (83-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Fields * 42 2-12 1-4 4-6 5 7 1 0 1 9 9 -
Desi Sills * 40 3-13 0-2 2-3 4 4 1 0 2 8 2 -
Norchad Omier * 36 11-14 0-0 7-8 17 0 0 3 1 29 34 -
Marquis Eaton * 34 1-11 1-4 6-6 2 3 1 0 3 9 1 -
Keyon Wesley * 20 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
Markise Davis 25 4-9 1-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 11 6 -
Malcolm Farrington 16 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
Antwon Jackson 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Avery Felts 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Akwuba * 34 8-9 0-0 0-2 15 0 1 3 4 16 22 -
D. Gueye * 31 4-9 0-0 5-6 11 1 0 1 4 13 13 -
K. Julien * 27 7-13 3-3 3-4 3 1 0 1 1 20 11 -
T. Wesley * 27 4-9 0-1 4-6 3 3 1 0 2 12 8 -
Ty Harper * 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
G. Williams Jr. 27 4-6 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 1 0 11 8 -
Kentrell Garnett 24 1-5 1-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
B. Au 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 0 0 3 -
I. Richards 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
Michael Thomas 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Dalcourt 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Cadwell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter