Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✗ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +20 (86-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Larry * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Kailex Stephens * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Cooper Neese * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Henry * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Zach Hobbs | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Xavier Bledson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sam Mervis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 35 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Josiah Strong * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Abdou Ndiaye * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Malcolm Miller | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nik Stadelman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter