Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -2 (70-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Heise * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Bowen Born | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tytan Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Cole Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 30 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 32 | - |
| Josiah Strong * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Liam McChesney * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| H. Fleming Jr. * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Abdou Ndiaye | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mark Freeman | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alston Andrews | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Malcolm Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter