Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Domask * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 31 | - |
| Lance Jones * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 37 | - |
| J.D. Muila * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trent Brown | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven Verplancken | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyler Filewich | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Anthony D'Avanzo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Troy D'Amico | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Strong * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Antonio Reeves * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Dalton Banks * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Abdou Ndiaye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter