Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +15 (79-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Strong * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Liam McChesney * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Antonio Reeves * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| H. Fleming Jr. * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mark Freeman | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Emon Washington | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Abdou Ndiaye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Heise * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Bowen Born | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tytan Anderson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Cole Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter