Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +25 (88-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Lewis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clay * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Ja'Monta Black * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Lu'Cye Patterson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Gaige Prim * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Isiaih Mosley * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Isaac Haney | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jaylen Minnett | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Dawson Carper | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Keaton Hervey | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nic Tata | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter