Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | -4.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malevy Leons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Ville Tahvanainen | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ja'Shon Henry | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Zek Montgomery | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Josiah Strong * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Sy Chatman * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Mark Freeman * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Fleming Jr. | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| M. Howell | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Liam McChesney | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Abdou Ndiaye | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emon Washington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter