Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Josiah Strong * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Emon Washington * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Murphy * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Abdou Ndiaye * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Sy Chatman | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Wilkins * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Darnell Brodie * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Roman Penn * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Garrett Sturtz | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Okay Djamgouz | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Nate Ferguson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter