Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4592686 * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 30 | - |
| Josiah Strong * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Player #4397162 * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 33 | - |
| H. Fleming Jr. * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emon Washington | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Liam McChesney | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolby King * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Darius Deaveiro | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Hedstrom | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter