Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiaih Mosley * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Gaige Prim * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 37 | - |
| Donovan Clay * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Ja'Monta Black * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Keaton Hervey * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Lu'Cye Patterson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jaylen Minnett | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Dawson Carper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 30 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Josiah Strong | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Sy Chatman | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Emon Washington | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter