Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +10 (93-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Dennis | 38 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| R. Rollins | 37 | 9-19 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| M. Carcoana | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Saunders | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E.J. Farmer | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Jacobi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Millner Jr. * | 39 | 7-19 | 5-14 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| R. Moss * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| JT Shumate * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sparks * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| L. Bumbalough * | 35 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Jacobs * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Cochran * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Sellers | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Brown | 12 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Windham | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter