Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +13 (83-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jacobs * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Sellers | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Brown | 16 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Pearson Jr. | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Jihad | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Windham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Millner Jr. * | 34 | 5-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| JT Shumate * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| R. Rollins * | 31 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - |
| R. Moss * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| T. Cochran * | 27 | 5-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| K. Saunders | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Jacobi | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Carcoana | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter