Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Millner Jr. * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| R. Rollins * | 35 | 7-22 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Ra'Heim Moss * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Dennis * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| JT Shumate * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Kooper Jacobi | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Keshaun Saunders | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Wilson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E.J. Farmer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Carcoana | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Brown | 23 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Julius Marble | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Pierre Brooks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Max Christie * | 28 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Walker * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Akins | 24 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Malik Hall | 22 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Mady Sissoko | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter