Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.3% | 23.7% | -6.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quinerly * | 39 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Keon Ellis * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 34 | 3-14 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Noah Gurley * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| JD Davison | 37 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Darius Miles | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| James Rojas | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Murray * | 41 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Xavier Pinson * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Darius Days * | 38 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Mwani Wilkinson * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Efton Reid * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tari Eason | 33 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 9-13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Eric Gaines | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shareef O'Neal | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justice Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter