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Alabama Crimson Tide 77
@
LSU Tigers 80
2022-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 78.4% 21.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 70.2% 29.8% - ✗
Margin 76.3% 23.7% -6.4 ✗ (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - ✓
Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 41.2% 58.8% - ✓

Actual: LSU Tigers +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Quinerly * 39 5-13 4-11 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 16 3 -
K. Ellis * 36 4-10 3-8 8-8 9 1 2 0 6 19 15 -
J. Shackelford * 34 3-14 0-8 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 6 -2 -
N. Gurley * 17 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
C. Bediako * 15 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 1 1 0 1 5 8 -
JD Davison 37 4-9 3-7 1-2 5 4 3 0 4 12 11 -
D. Miles 24 3-7 1-4 2-2 3 3 2 0 3 9 7 -
J. Rojas 17 1-2 0-0 2-3 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
J. Gary 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Murray * 41 7-14 2-6 1-1 6 2 3 1 4 17 11 -
X. Pinson * 39 4-10 0-2 0-1 0 8 5 0 2 8 9 -
D. Days * 38 8-15 3-7 5-6 7 0 3 1 2 24 18 -
M. Wilkinson * 22 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 3 0 -
E. Reid III * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Eason 33 5-10 1-1 9-13 9 2 3 1 2 20 23 -
E. Gaines 30 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 0 2 0 0 6 8 -
S. O'Neal 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter