Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +5.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mwani Wilkinson * | 37 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Murray * | 36 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Darius Days * | 33 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Xavier Pinson * | 32 | 5-21 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Efton Reid * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Eric Gaines | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tari Eason | 18 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 10-10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Shareef O'Neal | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Justice Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Umude | 39 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| JD Notae * | 39 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Au'Diese Toney * | 39 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Trey Wade * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Davonte Davis | 31 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kamani Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Chris Lykes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter