Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.3% | 26.7% | -5.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.D. Johnson | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 19 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Zep Jasper * | 35 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jabari Smith * | 35 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Walker Kessler * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Allen Flanigan * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -7 | - |
| W. Green Jr. | 31 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iverson Molinar * | 40 | 5-19 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | -1 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 39 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 36 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Shakeel Moore * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Andersson Garcia | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Derek Fountain | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javian Davis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Camryn Carter | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter