Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +9 (90-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Ellis * | 37 | 10-16 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 36 | 5-15 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Quinerly * | 21 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Juwan Gary * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Darius Miles | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| JD Davison | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Noah Gurley | 18 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| James Rojas | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jusaun Holt | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellan Grady | 39 | 9-16 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Davion Mintz | 39 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Brooks Jr. | 37 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Dontaie Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryce Hopkins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lance Ware | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacob Toppin * | 40 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Daimion Collins | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter