Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iverson Molinar | 34 | 7-20 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Camryn Carter | 28 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Derek Fountain | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andersson Garcia | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Shakeel Moore | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Javian Davis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quinerly * | 37 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 35 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Keon Ellis * | 23 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Noah Gurley * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darius Miles | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| JD Davison | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| James Rojas | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jusaun Holt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter