Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Jeffries * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Shakeel Moore | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Pinson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Murray * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Darius Days * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Mwani Wilkinson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Efton Reid * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Eric Gaines | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tari Eason | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 34 | - |
| Shareef O'Neal | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Justice Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Cam Carter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Fountain | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter