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Arkansas Razorbacks 67
@
Alabama Crimson Tide 68
2022-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.6 ✓ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - ✗
Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% - ✗

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylin Williams * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 22 32 -
Au'Diese Toney * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 6 11 -
JD Notae * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 4 0 3 12 17 -
Trey Wade * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Davonte Davis 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 4 9 -
Chris Lykes 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 2 8 -
Kamani Johnson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 4 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keon Ellis * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 3 0 7 17 -
Jaden Shackelford * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 5 10 11 -
JD Davison * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 1 6 11 15 -
Noah Gurley * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 9 12 -
Juwan Gary * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Quinerly 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 5 6 5 -
Darius Miles 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 3 11 -
Charles Bediako 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 2 9 13 -
Jusaun Holt 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 4 -
James Rojas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 13 -

* = starter