Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.D. Johnson | 33 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| W. Green Jr. * | 38 | 9-21 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 2 | - |
| Walker Kessler * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 29 | - |
| Jabari Smith * | 32 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Allen Flanigan * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 14 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Moore | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Umude | 39 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Au'Diese Toney * | 41 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| JD Notae * | 41 | 7-20 | 3-9 | 11-14 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Trey Wade * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Davonte Davis | 32 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Chris Lykes | 17 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kamani Johnson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter