Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +8 (63-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Jeffries * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Shakeel Moore * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Notae * | 38 | 4-16 | 0-6 | 6-9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Au'Diese Toney * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Trey Wade * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Davonte Davis | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Lykes | 20 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kamani Johnson | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
* = starter