Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +19 (100-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Shackelford * | 35 | 6-15 | 5-11 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| J. Quinerly * | 35 | 7-21 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Keon Ellis * | 28 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Juwan Gary * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| JD Davison | 24 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Rojas | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Noah Gurley | 14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Darius Miles | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jusaun Holt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.D. Johnson | 33 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Walker Kessler * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26 | - |
| Jabari Smith * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Allen Flanigan * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Zep Jasper * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Green Jr. | 27 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Preston Cook | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carter Sobera | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chandler Leopard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Maasdorp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter