Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gaines * | 34 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Murray * | 32 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Mwani Wilkinson * | 31 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Efton Reid * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Darius Days * | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tari Eason | 31 | 9-13 | 2-2 | 6-10 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Alex Fudge | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justice Williams | 13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Shareef O'Neal | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Shackelford * | 37 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 9-11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Keon Ellis * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Noah Gurley * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 | - |
| JD Davison * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Quinerly | 31 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Darius Miles | 25 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| James Rojas | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jusaun Holt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter