Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.9% | 28.1% | -5.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Ellis * | 34 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 32 | 6-16 | 1-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| J. Quinerly * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Noah Gurley * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| JD Davison | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Darius Miles | 19 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| James Rojas | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Gary | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jusaun Holt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iverson Molinar | 35 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 33 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Andersson Garcia | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Rocket Watts | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Camryn Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Fountain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shakeel Moore * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 9-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Javian Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter