Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.D. Johnson | 32 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jabari Smith * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 6-10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Allen Flanigan * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Zep Jasper * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Walker Kessler * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Green Jr. | 32 | 7-20 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lior Berman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quinerly * | 32 | 4-19 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Keon Ellis * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 29 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Gary * | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Darius Miles | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| JD Davison | 26 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Noah Gurley | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jusaun Holt | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter