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2022-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% -
Log Adjusted 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +12 (85-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Castleton 33 7-14 0-0 8-11 10 1 1 2 3 22 19 -
T. Appleby 31 2-7 1-5 6-8 4 9 4 1 4 11 18 -
M. Jones 30 5-10 3-7 0-2 1 1 3 0 2 13 6 -
A. Duruji 29 6-12 2-6 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 14 9 -
P. Fleming Jr. 25 1-6 0-0 5-5 4 0 1 0 3 7 3 -
B. McKissic 24 2-5 0-3 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
CJ Felder 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
K. Reeves 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Jitoboh 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K.D. Johnson 28 7-13 3-4 6-8 1 1 3 0 0 23 15 -
W. Green Jr. 25 5-10 2-4 1-2 3 4 1 0 5 13 6 -
W. Kessler 24 2-5 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 3 3 6 10 -
J. Williams 21 5-6 1-2 3-3 3 1 0 2 2 14 12 -
J. Smith 21 4-7 2-2 3-5 5 2 0 1 0 13 14 -
Z. Jasper 21 1-4 0-3 2-2 0 4 1 0 1 4 4 -
A. Flanigan 20 4-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 8 6 -
Dev. Cambridge 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
D. Cardwell 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 0 0 10 -
L. Berman 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Moore 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 3 -

* = starter