Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellan Grady | 39 | 4-13 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| T. Washington Jr. | 33 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Davion Mintz | 27 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 3 | - |
| K. Brooks Jr. | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lance Ware | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sahvir Wheeler | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dontaie Allen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryce Hopkins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jacob Toppin | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Daimion Collins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Murray * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Darius Days * | 29 | 3-12 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Pinson * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Mwani Wilkinson * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Efton Reid * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tari Eason | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Eric Gaines | 22 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Alex Fudge | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Justice Williams | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter