Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bradley * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 11-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 17 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| L. Butler * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Seiko | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sherfield * | 39 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 9-12 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Des. Cambridge Jr. * | 35 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Blackshear * | 34 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| T. Pulliam * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| W. Washington * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| T. Coleman * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Foster | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Baker | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K.J. Hymes | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter