Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.4 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Joe Octave * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| J. Allen-Tovar * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Lucas Moerman * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| A.J. Walker * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Nikc Jackson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Jaelen House * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Javonte Johnson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| KJ Jenkins * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Sebastian Forsling | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Birima Seck | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter