Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +19 (75-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bairstow * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Steven Ashworth * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Max Shulga | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Szymon Zapala | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trevin Dorius | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bradley * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 30 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| A. Seiko | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Arop | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
* = starter