Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Walker * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jake Heidbreder * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Nikc Jackson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| T. Pulliam * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Lucas Moerman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 20 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 26 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Seiko | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Arop | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter