Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✗ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +1 (58-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Diabate | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Tomaic | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Pulliam * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 33 | 7-18 | 4-7 | 9-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| L. Butler * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Arop | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Seiko | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Roddy * | 33 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| I. Stevens * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Tonje * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| K. Moore * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Moors | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| C. Jacobs | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Thistlewood | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. Rivera | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Lake | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter