Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +27 (73-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| B. Horvath * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | - |
| A.J. Walker * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Lucas Moerman * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Joe Octave * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nikc Jackson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Corner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Thelissen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wagstaff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Abe Kinrade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bairstow * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Steven Ashworth * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Max Shulga | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trevin Dorius | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zee Hamoda | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Szymon Zapala | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Connor Odom | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter