Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +30 (79-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Stevens | 35 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| D. Roddy | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| C. Jacobs | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Moore | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Tonje | 21 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| D. Thomas | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Rivera | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Lake | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Thistlewood | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Moors | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| B. Hebb | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bradley | 32 | 10-17 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 15 | - |
| L. Butler | 29 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Johnson | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Arop | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| T. Pulliam | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Mensah | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Dinwiddie Jr. | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Diabate | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Barnett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Alger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter