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Air Force Falcons 59
@
Colorado State Rams 67
2022-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 8.7% 91.3% - ✓
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.3 ✓ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 10.1% 89.9% - ✓
Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Heidbreder 40 5-12 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 12 5 -
Ethan Taylor * 40 7-10 3-6 2-2 6 4 1 1 1 19 20 -
Camden Vander Zwaag * 40 5-10 2-5 0-1 1 4 2 0 3 12 6 -
Carter Murphy * 36 5-7 3-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 13 12 -
Nikc Jackson * 30 1-5 0-1 1-2 3 4 0 1 4 3 2 -
Ryan Corner 10 0-0 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
Kyle Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stevens * 34 5-14 1-5 4-5 2 2 1 0 0 15 6 -
David Roddy * 26 5-11 0-3 3-6 12 2 1 1 1 13 17 -
Adam Thistlewood * 24 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Kendle Moore * 21 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 2 -
Dischon Thomas * 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
John Tonje 29 2-9 2-5 3-3 3 1 0 1 0 9 5 -
Chandler Jacobs 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 6 9 -
Jalen Lake 14 2-4 1-3 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
James Moors 13 2-3 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 0 2 5 7 -
Isaiah Rivera 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter