Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -3.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -7 (55-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Seiko * | 38 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 33 | 5-18 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 29 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Arop | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hamilton * | 37 | 6-19 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | -1 | - |
| J. McCabe * | 35 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Baker * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Williams * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| R. Hamm Jr. * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| K. Dinwiddie Jr. * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Nuga | 22 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 18 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| V. Iwuakor | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. Muoka | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Gilbert | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter