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Colorado State Rams 63
@
Air Force Falcons 67
2022-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% - ✓
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 ✓ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 53.8% 46.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - ✓

Actual: Air Force Falcons +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
U. Atosu 39 7-16 3-6 6-8 4 1 1 0 3 23 10 -
M. Hofschild 34 5-9 1-2 6-6 2 1 1 0 1 17 11 -
P. Farkas 29 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 1 -
K. Murphy 28 2-12 0-1 5-6 15 2 0 0 0 9 14 -
S. Mech 26 3-7 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 2 3 6 -1 -
K. Kinzer 26 2-3 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 2 2 5 10 -
Cali Clark 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 2 -
A. Prim 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 1 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jo Huntimer 35 2-6 1-4 1-2 5 4 4 0 0 6 13 -
R. Snyder 34 7-13 0-2 1-1 4 2 0 0 1 15 7 -
C. Winters 31 8-14 1-2 2-4 1 1 2 1 4 19 6 -
H. Jones 29 2-10 0-0 2-2 12 0 2 2 1 6 11 -
L. McDonald 26 5-9 2-5 3-6 6 0 1 1 2 15 12 -
K. Heath 18 1-6 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
N. McDonald 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. MacMillan 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Britt 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Madison Smith 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter