Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | UNLV Lady Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Lady Rebels +6 (85-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lata. Duff * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Lato. Duff * | 36 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +1.7 |
| Jaedyn De La Cerda * | 36 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +13.4 |
| Shaiquel McGruder * | 34 | 12-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | +7.8 |
| Antonia Anderson * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Paula Reus Piza | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Viane Cumber | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
UNLV Lady Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Durazo-Frescas * | 35 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -6.6 |
| Essence Booker * | 32 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 15 | -12.7 |
| Desi-Rae Young * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 9 | -8.3 |
| Nneka Obiazor * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Justice Ethridge * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Kiara Jackson | 31 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Alyssa Brown | 21 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Kenadee Winfrey | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.5 |
* = starter