Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +11 (66-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Jimenez * | 37 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | -18.0 |
| Amaya West * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Da'Ja Hamilton * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -25.8 |
| Nia Alexander * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -19.5 |
| Alyssa Jimenez * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -12.5 |
| Audrey Roden | 26 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Lexie Givens | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Kenna Holt | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +9.9 |
| Natalie Lathrop | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendyll Kinzer * | 39 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +11.0 |
| McKenna Hofschild * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +11.5 |
| Upe Atosu * | 36 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +19.9 |
| Petra Farkas * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +6.4 |
| Karly Murphy * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | +22.6 |
| Cali Clark | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -7.2 |
| Clara Gomez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +8.1 |
| Anna Prim | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.2 |
* = starter