Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +14 (80-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Scalia * | 38 | 3-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | -7.1 |
| Jasmine Powell * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Deja Winters * | 26 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | -1.9 |
| K. Sissoko * | 19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Alanna Micheaux * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Gadiva Hubbard | 26 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Laura Bagwell Katalinich | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Bailey Helgren | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Alexia Smith | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -6.1 |
| Klarke Sconiers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Kayla Mershon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Erin Hedman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Maggie Czinano | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Caroline Strande | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy Hardin * | 38 | 4-12 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +15.4 |
| Madison Layden-Zay * | 37 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +16.1 |
| Jeanae Terry * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 26 | +12.7 |
| Rickie Woltman * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | +6.9 |
| Abbey Ellis * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -5.4 |
| Jayla Smith | 19 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -5.8 |
| Ava Learn | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Brooke Moore | 16 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | -2.5 |
* = starter