Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -19 (58-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Rauch * | 32 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | +29.4 |
| Emily Kiser * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +20.2 |
| N. Hillmon * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 23 | +25.6 |
| L. Brown * | 25 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +16.4 |
| Maddie Nolan * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +15.2 |
| Laila Phelia | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +3.5 |
| Amy Dilk | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Elise Stuck | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Cameron Williams | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3.7 |
| Izabel Varejão | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.8 |
| Michelle Sidor | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.1 |
| Jordan Hobbs | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6.4 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sheldon * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | -17.2 |
| Taylor Mikesell * | 31 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -6 | -20.6 |
| Braxtin Miller * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -18.7 |
| Rikki Harris * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -10.1 |
| Rebeka Mikulasikova * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -7.5 |
| Tanaya Beacham | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Taylor Thierry | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Kateri Poole | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +3.9 |
| Gabby Hutcherson | 7 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -0.7 |
* = starter