Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray | 39 | 7-22 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Joe Toussaint | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Bohannon | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ahron Ulis | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tony Perkins * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 3-7 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Connor McCaffery * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Filip Rebraca * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kris Murray | 19 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Payton Sandfort | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 38 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Coleman Hawkins * | 37 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 34 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| D. Williams * | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 22 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Luke Goode | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| RJ Melendez | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| O. Payne | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Podziemski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter