Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 10 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Sasha Stefanovic * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 22 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Mason Gillis * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ethan Morton | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Trevion Williams | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Thompson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Furst | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Brown | 31 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Julius Marble | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Bingham | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Max Christie * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Malik Hall * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Walker | 19 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Joey Hauser | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jaden Akins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mady Sissoko | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter