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2022-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 40.8% 59.2% +2.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% -
Log Adjusted 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Audige * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 11 15 -
B. Buie * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 7 2 0 0 8 18 -
R. Beran * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 0 7 -
T. Berry 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 11 15 -
E. Williams 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
R. Young 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 8 16 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pickett * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 3 3 11 23 -
M. Dread * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 6 11 -
J. Harrar * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 20 0 0 1 1 11 31 -
S. Lundy * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 12 15 -
J. Cornwall 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. White 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Scott 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter